Chi,
Your rating of BAC San Jose is off a little. The BBB is the rating to the parent company, BAC International. The San Jose bank itself is rated BB+ or BB, depending on which currency you are looking at, and that puts it below investment grade, not that I'd put any money anywhere near it if it was BBB.
Banco BAC San Jose 'BB/B' Ratings Affirmed; Outlook Stable
MEXICO CITY (Standard & Poor's) Sept. 24, 2008--Standard & Poor's Rating
Services said today that it had affirmed its 'BB/B' foreign currency and its
'BB+/B' local currency counterparty credit ratings on Banco BAC San Jose S.A.
The outlook is stable.
The ratings on Costa Rica-based BAC San Jose reflect its dollarized
balance sheet and expanding lending activities in a small economy, the
challenges imposed by a market in which commercial public banks have a 50%
penetration, and a pressured capital ratio. The ratings are supported by good
financial performance, low delinquency levels, adequate liquidity, and the
benefits from the ownership by one of the most important financial
institutions in Central America, BAC International Bank Inc. (BIB;
BBB/Stable/A-2).
Despite the loan portfolio's good performance, BAC San Jose is highly
exposed to foreign exchange movements because approximately 50% of its loan
portfolio is dollar-denominated, and it is not all related to net dollar
generators. Since the 2007 exchange regime in Costa Rica is driving the
economy toward free trade, there might be an impact on results, with larger
volatility especially through treasury income. We believe that despite this
change of regime, the country's operating dynamics and competition will still
provide impetus for credit in dollars.
Competition is strong, and comes mainly from public banks with more than
half of market share. Liquidity and funding are satisfactory. BAC San José's
liquidity is supported by an ample and stable deposit base that represents 75%
of total liability. The ratio of loans to deposit is slightly above 1x, but we
expect it to return to below 1x as assets growth goes slower. We also consider
that the bank would be supported by Credomatic International Corp. (CIC;
BBB/Stable/A-2).
Capitalization is adjusted even after a $10 million capital injection
during the second quarter of 2008. Standard & Poor's Ratings Services expects
capital ratios to be pressured due to possible volatility of foreign exchange
income.
The group displays strong financial ratios across the board. Thanks to
tight risk management, nonperforming loan ratios have been kept under control
and stood below 1% on June 30, 2008. When considering charge offs, the
restructured ratio reached a little bit more than 1% by June 2008. We expect
profitability to be stable, with return on assets close to 2.5% despite
foreseeable higher funding costs due to a liquidity squeeze on a global basis.
Profitability is supported by BAC San Jose's business mix and relatively low
funding costs. We expect competition from large public banks and global banks
to add pressure to interest margins.
The ownership of BIB and Credomatic International Corp. (BBB/Stable/A-2)
provides BAC San Jose with access to a common brand and regional presence,
increasing its position in the growing retail sector in Costa Rica, mainly in
the high-end mortgage loans and credit cards segments. This is a definite
competitive advantage, given the increasing and tougher competition in Central
America. We expect BAC San Jose to continue benefiting from its current
ownership structure.
The stable outlook reflects BAC San Jose's commercial position in Costa
Rica and its adequate financial profile, which could support it through
probable inflation pressure. If the bank's performance deteriorates,
especially liquidity, or if there is a negative rating action on the sovereign
ratings on the Republic of Costa Rica, the rating on the bank could be
pressured.