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PostPosted: Tue Dec 11, 2007 11:53 pm 
Masters Degree in Mongering!
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Joined: Tue Sep 02, 2003 12:13 am
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If you think its easy to predict the direction foreign currencies are headed in you might want to try your hand trading on a practice demo acount on the foreign exchange market first, see:

http://www.fxcm.com/?CMP=SFS-70160000000D6TkAAK


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PostPosted: Wed Dec 12, 2007 3:03 pm 
Ticas ask me for advice!
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Jester wrote:
I visited AR in 2005 and enjoyed it but no way in hell I would pay $240-$300 (2001 prices before devaluation) for a small average hotel room in BsAs or U.S. prices for everything else. No fokkin way. Just not that great a place.


You lost me here. I was in Buenos Aires in 2002 when the peso had just stabilized at 3 to 1, after being pegged 1 to 1 with the dollar before the crash. A four star hotel and a nice piece of ass could easily be found for 100 pesos each (the same price as before the crash). Therefore in US dollars I was paying $33 for what would have cost $100 prior to the devaluation.

I don't know what was going on in Argentina in 2005, but when I was there it was absolutely ridiculous how inexpensive EVERYTHING was when paying in US dollars.


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PostPosted: Wed Dec 12, 2007 4:25 pm 
Masters Degree in Mongering!

Joined: Sun Jul 29, 2007 4:28 pm
Posts: 705
Senordos,

I've done some forex trading, but you can't really make any money (unless you really know what you're doing) with dealing in third world currencies because of the aforementioned double conversion. Basically, your best bet there is sticking with the top currencies (EUR, YEN, AUD, GBP, USD).

I'm speaking specifically about trying to come out ahead in Colones after all is said and done. Just because the CRC is gaining on the dollar doesn't mean it's actually valuating against other currencies. I haven't yet looked to find out if that is the case, but I would suspect that the COL is devaluating against the EUR, even though it's gaining on the dollar.


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PostPosted: Thu Dec 13, 2007 11:34 am 
Just Learning The Gulch!

Joined: Tue Aug 08, 2006 12:26 pm
Posts: 36
"money as debt " (google it) or you could just buy loonies :lol:


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PostPosted: Thu Dec 20, 2007 3:22 pm 
I'm currently reading Alan Greenspan's book. The dollar will come back folks and it doesn't have to take a long time for it to happen.

It could happen overnight, literally over night. I'm not finished the book, but it is clear that the dollar will be strong once again, but of course, what brings that about is hard to say. It probably won't happen overnight, however. Whatever happens to bring this about, they let it happen, but they try to intervene as best they can so it isn't so shocking to the world markets.

The scary thing for many is that the world financial system is very fragile. What happens usually is that these corrupt governments soon or later mess up in a major way and since the world is so interconnected, it is a cascading effect, but the good news is that America weathers the turmoil far better than anywhere else. When one of these events happen, people around the world bring their money to America, because historically we are a safe haven and nothing major has happened to change our historical record.

I'm psyched. I just wish the dollar would advance sooner rather than later.


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PostPosted: Thu Dec 20, 2007 4:31 pm 
"Greenspan did not see the crash coming at all."

And you've read the book??????

Greenspan sees it all coming! If you read the book, you would not have made those comments.... none of them.


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PostPosted: Thu Dec 20, 2007 6:03 pm 
PHD From Del Rey University!

Joined: Mon Feb 12, 2007 5:48 pm
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The devaluation of the dollar is why we really have to consider who we elect next year. The only candidate from either party who I really think understands what is happening and how dire our situation really is is Ron paul.


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PostPosted: Thu Dec 20, 2007 6:07 pm 
That article was written in Feb 2004. At that time, the house market was thriving.

When Greenspan said, "American consumers might benefit if lenders provided greater mortgage product alternatives to the traditional fixed-rate mortgage,"

"greater" does not mean that he supported all of the products that ultimately came to the market.


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PostPosted: Thu Dec 20, 2007 8:18 pm 
"In 2004, I knew the best deal was still a fixed loan, why didn't he?"

Man oh man, adjustable rate mortgages have been around for a very very long time. Adjustable or fixed has absolutely nothing to do with the mortgage loan problem. Fixed or adjustable wasn't the issue.

The issue was lending to subprime borrowers!!! Keep the Jack out of your Kool Aid.

Fixed.... LMAO! Turn it on Pac :arrow: :idea:


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PostPosted: Thu Dec 20, 2007 8:54 pm 
PHD From Del Rey University!
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Joined: Sun Jan 15, 2006 7:31 pm
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The ARMs were not the problem, lowering lending standards and letting consumers hang themselves was the issue.


BKTUNA
I am never going home


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PostPosted: Thu Dec 20, 2007 9:21 pm 
Pacifica55 wrote:
The issue was actually loaning more money than the property's prudent value on an adjustable rate often with a balloon that made the need for a refi a certainty, to people who could not get a conventional loan or thought they could not get a conventional loan and planned to refi based on non-existent equity but I didn't think I needed to go into that level of detail.


Repackaging won't work Pac. You still aren't right, but you can keep trying.

Bktuna wrote:
The ARMs were not the problem, lowering lending standards and letting consumers hang themselves was the issue.


Bingo but that is half the story....

What caused the current credit crisis was that the subprime loans were packaged into securities.


**********BTW**********************
Greenspan actually defends subprime lending to this day (really). What he is against is packing those loans up into securities - this is what caused the current credit crisis.


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PostPosted: Thu Dec 20, 2007 9:34 pm 
PHD From Del Rey University!
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Location: Sabana Oeste , Costa Rica
Bktuna wrote:
The ARMs were not the problem, lowering lending standards and letting consumers hang themselves was the issue.


BKTUNA
I am never going home


Finally a voice of reason :lol: ARM's have been around forever without a problem. Then the started to attract sub prime borrowers with unrealistic offerings. Anyone remember:

125% of value

No credit check

No employment check

No green card (big in South Florida :shock: )

etc., etc. etc.

A lot of unscrupulous people made some big bucks and now a lot of unsophisticated people are having their dreams trampled.

So what else is new :?: :(

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