Trying to figure out air fares is useless. But in several years of watching out for fares I have noticed trends. If you're traveling after Oct 1, try and wait it out until Labor Day. It could be a little nerve wracking, but I wouldn't be at all suprised to see fares drop immediately thereafter, at least temporarily, for travel during the remainder of the so-called green season.
Also, patience is usually rewarded, but not always. A few weeks ago I saw fares for AA out of Philly for around $400 including taxes for travel over Labor Day weekend. I thought about it, didn't bite, fares are back up to $570 including taxes, and in the meantime I had a car wreck, totaled my car, and might wind up having to spend my CR bankroll on my next set of wheels instead!
