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PostPosted: Sat Jun 06, 2009 10:42 am 
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The latest on the election tomorrow from this mornings Inside Costa Rica.

Quote:

PLN To Elect Leader on Sunday

This weekend is the big weekend for the Partido Liberacion Nacional (PLN) as it chooses its leader for the 2010 presidential elections, between Laura Chinchilla, Johnny Araya, who have been alternating leads in the polls and way down the list, Fernando Berrocal.

The election will be on Sunday, with the results expected to be announced by 8:30pm The party expected a big turnout, hundreds of thousands, while analysts doubt that the elections will be highly attended.

The winner in tomorrow's vote will lead the party in the February 2010 elections taking over from the current president, Oscar Arias, also of the PLN party.

The leading candidates in the elections are former vice-president, Laura Chinchilla, and former mayor of San Jose, Johnny Araya.

The two have been leading in the polls, depending on which poll is reporting results, with leads of 10 points over the other.

The third candidate, former ministro de Seguridad, Fernando Berrocal, has been at the bottom of any poll, getting less than 10% of support.

Berrocal said this week that if the "silent majority" votes on Sunday there is no doubt that he will be chosen leader, ending a campaign that has been financed on a shoe string budge - compared to the other two - and with little open support by declared voters.

For her part, Chinchilla has come out strong the last few days of campaigning, promoting her contribution to the current government, a government that according to Chinchilla has put Costa Rica back on the road to progress. Chinchilla resigned as vice-president last October to run for the party nomination.

Chinchilla has said in the last couple of days that she knows, has the experience, to run the country, which is totally different than running a municipality.

Chinchilla will be the first woman candidate for the PLN party and would be the first woman president, although she did occupy the post temporarily while president Arias was away from Costa Rica.

Araya has been coming on strong also, visiting small communities around the country and promoting his friendly access and open attitude. His television commercial have him close to the people.

Araya also has the support of many staunch PLN supporters, like that of former president Luis Alberto Monge, who is also Araya's uncle.

Although a year ago it was believed that the leadership of the party was a shoe in, with Chinchilla as their candidate, today the fight between Chinchilla and Araya is going down to the wire.

Although Chinchilla is the pick of president Arias, he has to be quiet on the subject after he was reprimanded by the Elections tribunal last year. Araya and Arias have had their run ins in the past, the the making peace in 2006 when Arias was elected.

Whomever is chosen leader tomorrow will face Otton Solis of the Partido Accion Cuidadana (PAC), who was confirmed last week during the party's first open convention. This will be Solis' third attempt at the presidential seat.

The Partido Unidad Social Cristiana (PUSC), the party that alternated power with the PLN for decades, failed to win the opposition role in the last presidential elections and still is a party without a leader.

The PUSC has put all its eggs in the basket of former president Rafael Angel Calderon Fournier, who, among seven others, is in the final stages of a corruption and embezzlement charge, which he expects to be fully vindicated and run for president in 2010.

Calderon government from 1990 to 1994. His father was Rafael Ángel Calderón Guardia, who was president from 1940 to 1944.

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PostPosted: Mon Jun 08, 2009 11:37 am 
PHD From Del Rey University!
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Pidd wrote:
Tonight I had a conversation with X ( the manager of a popular local establishment I've know for a number of years but will keep off the board due to the possible political repercussions).

He has no fear that she will attempt to close the sex industry in Costa Rica. He feels whatver she may say now is just political and will soon pass when the elections in 2010 are over.

The recent "troubles" encountered by the sex industry were at the Municipal level headed by Mr Araya. Due to the sensitive nature of this issue the balance of his comments will remain unpublished.!

...and so the story goes....

Pidd


There was a disussion awhile back on whether Mr. Araya could reclaim his seat as mayor if he lost the primary. It was well published that Laura could not reclaim her Vice President chair. According to Inside Costa Rica Johnny going back to City Hall and reclaim the mayors chair.

Quote:
PLN VOTE 2009
Araya Fails To Win Support "His City"

Johnny Araya, who will be going back to his old job as mayor of San José today, blames his loss for the leadership of the Partido Liberación Nacional (PLN) to political pressure by the Arias government.

Araya lost the leadership race to Laura Chinchila by more than 10% of the votes cast on Sunday, telling his supporters at the end of the day that they were up against forces beyond their control.

"Pressure from the government of Oscar Arias", according to Araya were the main causes of his loss.

Araya had complained during the nomination race of inappropriate practices by the Arias government with an underlying message of support for Laura Chinchilla, promoting its accomplishments during the last three years.

In addition, Chinchilla, during the past week of her campaign stressed her role in the current government, which according to her, has put Costa Rica back on track. Stressing her vice-presidency in the Arias government was left up to the last minute as part of her strategy, Laura said in an interview last week.

Laura Chinchilla stepped down as Costa Rica's first vice-president last fall to concentrate on her path to the presidency in 2010.

At a few minutes before 9:30pm, Araya admitted defeat to Chinchilla with only less than 20% of the votes counted.

"After a long day of civic action I now have the responsibility to convert myself into spokesperson for the more than 200.000 Costa Ricans who share and supported our ideas", Araya told his audience during his defeat speech.

Interestingly enough, Araya failed to win support in the city (San José) that he has been mayor for the last 15 years and had stepped down temporarily to run for party leadership.

Araya got a 43% support in San José, compared to Chinchilla's 54%.

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PostPosted: Mon Jun 08, 2009 12:38 pm 
PHD From Del Rey University!
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AMCostaRica quote taken from ID's post on Saturday:
Quote:
... Although Chinchilla is the pick of president Arias, he has to be quiet on the subject after he was reprimanded by the Elections tribunal last year. Araya and Arias have had their run ins in the past, the the making peace in 2006 when Arias was elected. ...


And quote taken from AMCostaRica article cited today by Vegas Bob:
Quote:
... Araya has complained that Ms. Chinchilla had the secret support of President Óscar Arias Sánchez. He has said that having a woman president would be good for the country. In Costa Rica, there are rules about who can offer support, and the president is not one of them. But it is certain that Ms. Chinchilla had strong support from the Arias wing of the political party. ...

Chinchilla was Arias's annointed successor and key party supporters clearly wanted her and funded a massive advertising campaign that brought the poorly educated sheeple in line. It doesn't work so differently in the US, just much more so in a country like CR. Now they're stuck with who they voted for and deserve whatever they will get.

As for reaction Pidd got from that local business manager, I'm sure he is much more "plugged into" the local scene than I am. However, I don't believe the recent "troubles" encountered by the sex industry were really at the behest of Mr Araya even though they were at the municipal level that he headed. OR, at least if they were, I believe they were only done in attempt to respond politically to the groundswell of anti-P4P sentiment stirred up by Chinchilla. Araya couldn't afford to appear soft on P4P or unwilling to do anything about it without risking ceeding a huge block of voters over to Chinchilla. I mean, how can Pidd's friend believe that what Chinchilla has been threatening is "just political" while thinking that the recent token action taken by the municipality against the sex industry weren't also just political posturing related to the upcoming 2010 election? As TW pointed out, he seems more like a "player" than a type who would really be so against the P4P business. Who really seems more likely to try to take serious action against prostitution, a latin male or a feminist latina?

TW's prediction about Johnny becoming prez won't come to pass, at least not this time around. Let's hope he is at least right that a "country with such machismo won't elect a woman after all is said and done" or, at least, won't pass some of the things this woman would like to see happen even if she does get elected (as seems likely right now). Ticas represent a disproportionate part of the electorate WHO ACTUALLY VOTE, and even many young ticas in the P4P business are so enamored with the idea of a woman becoming prez that they don't seem to care (or believe) what her election might mean for their livelihood.

Our one best hope is that laws are not passed by votes in general elections but by votes in the Legislative Assembly and the Legislative Assembly in CR is still heavily male. OTOH, many of those assemblymen are quaking in fear at the groundswell of female voters (and, as BB57 pointed out, the political will of the ruling elite who are more considered with their country's image than putting poor chicas out of work). A lot of overly extreme reactions to some legitimate concerns have already passed the Legislative Assembly (e.g. paternity laws that assume the accused male is guilty until proven innocent), so I wouldn't want to cast any bets what sorts of new laws might make it through. And as has also been pointed out there is plenty that a female head of state can do by abusively enforcing existing laws, without having to pass anything new.


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PostPosted: Wed Jun 10, 2009 7:01 pm 
I can do CR without a wingman!

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Pacifica55 wrote:
Good lord, Pro, do you actually think anyone reads those loooooooooooong-assed posts? I am interested in your opinion....but not that interested. :shock: :lol:


Pac55, your post are long winded as well. Nice to see you shorten this one up, but as usual another slam. Leave Pro alone.


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