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PostPosted: Mon Sep 24, 2018 4:26 pm 
Masters Degree in Mongering!
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Location: South Florida
hopefully you had old dominion on the money line at +2000


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PostPosted: Tue Sep 25, 2018 12:30 am 
PHD From Del Rey University!
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Flabuck wrote:
hopefully you had old dominion on the money line at +2000


The casinos around me have started to not give action on any colege money lines if the spread is -15 or greater I can still get those games at William hill but I like to parlay those big money lines when the numbers look right.


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PostPosted: Sat Oct 06, 2018 10:43 pm 
I can do CR without a wingman!
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Ilv4play, I actually do my own homework and pick all of the games myself. I have been ´capping for 20 years now (I started in October 1998). Its possible that your long-term winning percentage in college basketball is higher than 57% because I have heard that college basketball is the easiest sport for bettors to beat. The NFL
is the hardest (so its like I am picking a fight with the toughest bully in the school). In the NFL my long-term winning percentage of 57% (its 56.7% now to be exact as I am now 18-7-1 on the season, I went 4-4 in week 3 and a perfect 5-0 last week) is as good as it gets. Just out of curiosity, what is your long-term winning percentage in college football and college basketball? I can´t imagine that it is that much higher than 57% in college football but I would be delighted to hear. Is your record documented like mine is? As it stands right now $500/game players who have bet all of my plays at -110 since the beginning of the 2006 NFL season would be up an average of $5512 per season, which isn´t too shabby for 4 1/2 to 5 months work. Especially considering that between 95% and 98% of NFL bettors lose in the long-run. And especially considering that people can get a month (5 weeks) of my plays for just $99, which comes out to be an average of just $19.80/week. Most NFL touts who aren´t half as good as I am charge much more for their picks than I do. Feel free to go to the ¨TRACK ME¨ page of my website tomorrow (Sunday) to track my straight/side plays as they go up 10 minutes after kick off and stay up for 2 months thereafter. Going into tomorrow I am 11-5-1 on my sides/straight plays (those are my plays that are shown on the ¨TRACK ME¨ page of my website) and 7-2 on my 2 team, 6 point teasers and hence 18-7-1 (72%) overall.


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PostPosted: Thu Oct 11, 2018 12:47 pm 
Masters Degree in Mongering!
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Location: Florida
My record over the last 12 years is blah blah blah. If you don't believe me I post my picks for the last 2 months. :roll:


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PostPosted: Wed Oct 17, 2018 9:27 pm 
I can do CR without a wingman!
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Joined: Wed Dec 14, 2005 10:36 am
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Skink,

I haven´t just started posted my picks for the last 2 months this season. For the past 12 1/2 NFL seasons,
ALL of my straight plays have gone up on the ¨TRACK ME¨ page of my website 10 minutes after kickoff and stayed up for 2 months afterwards. Therefore ALL of my straight plays since the beginning of the 2006 NFL season have been documented. This Sunday all of my early game (i.e. 1 PM EST) straight plays will go up
on the ¨TRACK ME¨ page of my website at 1:10 PM EST. Ditto for my late Sunday afternoon plays, as well as my plays for prime time games (Thursday night, Sunday night, and Monday night games). And this will continue throughout the rest of the season. And all of next season. And all of the 2020 season, e.t.c., just like I have been doing since the beginning of the 2006 NFL season.

BTW, I went a perfect 4-0 on all of my plays last week (2-0 on my straight plays and 2-0 on my 2 team, 6 point teasers). For the season I have gone a documented 25-10-1 (71.4%) on all of my plays, including 16-7-1 on my sides/straight plays and 9-3 on my 2 team, 6 point teaser plays. I have been RED-HOT since week 14 of last season. And my long-term record (since 2006) is now 851-648-49 (57% - 56.8% to be exact). Nickel bettors who have bet all of my plays since the beginning of the 2006 NFL season have made a net profit of $69,100, which comes out to be an average of more than $5,600 per NFL season.

My clients are obviously very happy with my performance so far this season. Let´s hope that I continue to deliver for them.


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PostPosted: Thu Oct 18, 2018 12:25 am 
PHD From Del Rey University!
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First, I'll readily admit that I don't know shit about sports betting. 57% is probably good.

But I do know math, statistics, and business. so after you factor in the vig (10% house cut), what have you won, about 2%. Quite a return on your investment. For every $100 bet, you clear $2?

Whoa, look out Bill Gates!


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PostPosted: Sat Oct 20, 2018 11:23 am 
I can do CR without a wingman!
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Actually Orange (Math Whiz), if you win 57 bets and lose 43 bets, that would be 57-43-4.3 (the 10% vig on losses) = 9.7. Not 2. But like I said, if someone bet very conservatively (just 3 percent) of their bankroll on all of my plays, they would earn a 79 percent annualized rate of return. Which is around 8 times higher than the long-run stock market average. If you know of a stock broker who has over the past 12 1/2 years shown his clients a average annualized return on their investment of 79 percent or higher, please give me his/her name and phone number.


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PostPosted: Wed Oct 24, 2018 11:58 pm 
I can do CR without a wingman!
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I went 1-1 last week (0-1 on my straight plays - a loss on Jacksonville, 1-0 on my 2 team, 6 point teasers -
a win on Chicago +8/Indianapolis -1). I am now 26-11-1 (70.3%) on the season. You can now get all of my plays from now through the Super Bowl for just $214. Of a month (5 weeks) for just $99, which comes out to be just $19.80 per week. Or one week for $29.


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PostPosted: Mon Nov 12, 2018 3:57 pm 
I can do CR without a wingman!
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I went 3-1-1 last week (2-1-1 on sides, 1-0 on 2 team, 6 point teasers) after a couple of slightly sub-.500 weeks.
I am now a documented 35-21-2 (62.5%) on the season
on all of my plays.


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PostPosted: Wed Nov 28, 2018 4:07 pm 
Ticas ask me for advice!
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Location: Twin Falls, ID
Ilv4play wrote:
Cubby wrote:
Ilv4play, just out of curiosity, do you even know what your long-term winning percentage in the NFL is? How carefully do you keep track of your long-term winning percentage? I highly doubt that it is higher than 57%,


Actually I do not know what my long term winning percentage in the NFL is because I do not bet NFL. I make my money betting College Basketball and College Football. I have been doing this seriously since 1987 and I have a much higher long term percentage than you do on both those sports. Making $5000.00 per year might sound like a lot of money to some people, over the course of 16 weeks, but for me I would not be too thrilled with that kind of return. I do use Excel, Access, and Python for my statistical analysis, and put in close to an hour a day updating my stats and running figures during the season, so yes I do know exactly what my win percentages are for any given time period. I do also have matrix's for MLB and Hockey but those are not nearly as productive, since the amount of games played and being series based changes the dynamics of my software.

For my curiosity, are you just passing on information from other sources, or are you actually doing the homework and picking all the games yourself.


Have you ever getting into stock analyzing, like with using the Yahoo Finance API ? They have a Python wrapper that you can use to get their stock information that I've been looking at. Obviously much different than sports stats, but thought I'd ask.
I know nothing about stocks, but want to build something that will track stuff in a way that would allow me to make sense of data and trends and stuff.


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PostPosted: Sat Jun 08, 2019 12:12 pm 
Masters Degree in Mongering!
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if youre expectancy is so good.. why are you selling a service instead of scaling?
same thing id ask any stock market trading guru who sells services...

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PostPosted: Sat Jun 08, 2019 5:03 pm 
PHD From Del Rey University!
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Location: SOUTH FLORIDA
Col Ingus wrote:
if youre expectancy is so good.. why are you selling a service instead of scaling?
same thing id ask any stock market trading guru who sells services...


Hey young man, thank you once again for saving my life and bringing me the wrist bp cuff, I'm now down to an average of 135/85, losing more weight and going to be dropping more.

When I first tried it out, I was ignoring my personal medical responsibility because I work out and walk a lot, but high bp is a silent killer as they say, and I had spiraled up to 165/110!

I then got serious about my meds and diet and exercise and weight loss program, was a bit of a wake up call.

Give me a pm shout when you come down next time, I'll return the favor and refer you one or more of my favoritas, I'm batting pretty good on those... :arrow: :twisted:

All my life my investments and expertise were in real estate, I was an appraiser, investment property appraiser, review appraiser, realtor and mortgage broker.

I never owned a single share of stock, my philosophy about stock was I was giving my money to other people I never knew and would never meet, and hoping they made money so I would make money, didn't seem logical to me, and I had valuable physical property in my possession. What could possibly go wrong?

Well, down and underwater 1/2 a cool mil later, in 2007 I found out just what could go wrong.

Ok, I did own stock. I worked for Lehman Brothers and they would contribute a dollar for every dollar employees put in to company stock.

Even with my limited knowledge of stocks, it made sense to me, as a math person, I figured the stock would have to spiral down to under 50% of it's value b4 I started losing money, so I bought bush loads of it.

What could possibly go wrong?

Again, in 2007, $250k worth of Lehman stock, down to 80k b4 I could frantically sell it, I once again found out.

Let's talk football betting. I mostly bet chicken feed for certain games, just to enhance my enjoyment of watching, where I have lunch money on a game, and by no means am I anywhere near an expert like these guys, but I'm better than the average bear, and for years, at the end of each season, I always came out ahead, albeit only slightly.

My advantage is I'm an egghead analyst, and I know math and statistics, and I analyzed home games vs away games, the type of weather, the turf where one team is more skilled, injuries, urgencies, wags and hunches and a variety of other issues, then created algorithms and made my calculations.

I showed one weeks guesses to a couple friends of mine who were serious bettors, and just by chance, I was spot on on almost all the games, they were stunned, to say the least.

They begged me to show them my pics for the next week and I warned them I'm just an amateur playing around and just got lucky, but they weren't having it. I give them my pics and I was way off that week and they lost their shirts, lol. :mrgreen:

The moral of the story, if you want to make money off of investments, if you ever see me here offering advice...do the exact opposite!!! :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:

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