WiseAsh wrote:
bandon843 wrote:
The objective and purpose of the manipulation is to keep prices of all imports (almost everything in CR) as low as possible for as long as possible for the local salaried ranks (the large majority of Ticos). BTW, the politicians have lucked out with the low price of oil, for now. If it wasn't for this huge break, the colon would have blown up quite a while ago.
Look at the social pressures (strikes/protests, higher criminal activity) that have been building in the local society the last few years…prices, in colones, for everything are up, salaries are not keeping up, the government is running an expanding deficit…while the politicians attempt to maintain prices stable against these pressures. It is not sustainable long term!
Yet the price, or exchange rate, of the US dollar remain "pegged".
The colon will suffer a steep devaluation (30%+) soon, sooner if interest rates start going up in the US later this year or in early 2016.
Just watch it...
FACT NOT HYSTERICAL FICTION
Current inflation "Annual inflation measured from October 2014 to September 2015 was -0.86%" crhoy.com/inflacion-interanual-lleva-3-meses-con-signo-negativo/
The crime rate has nothing to do with social unrest. It is all about distribution of drugs and their gangs.
The Costa Rica politicians, like those anywhere, have a very convenient way of measuring inflation. They create what is determined to be a basic basket of goods or "canasta basica", as it is known in Costa Rica. Then they determine inflation as the price change of the average cost of this basket. Well that is not real life!
Like I mentioned before, gasoline is a component of this basket (along with rice, cooking oil, etc.) and its temporary decrease in price has dragged down the cost of the canasta basica significantly this past year...thus your number above.
However, and most importantly, look at the REAL cost of life in CR the last year, the cost of living of a regular Tico family, and you will see a very different inflation picture! This picture is real life. Costs going up, salaries stagnant. And yes, this does lead to populist instigated social unrest and an increase in crime.
CR needs to allow its currency to reach a natural balance and create more opportunities by accurately reflecting the cost of doing business and investing in the country, to both domestic and foreign investors. This will benefit all in the long term.