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Good News! Crime is Down! https://forum.costaricaticas.com/viewtopic.php?f=1&t=31899 |
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Author: | Bilko [ Sat Dec 19, 2009 1:56 pm ] |
Post subject: | Good News! Crime is Down! |
Quote: Security minister asserts that crime is going down
By the A.M. Costa Rica staff The Arias administration is pointing to a decrease in the number of 2009 murders and in fewer home invasions and car thefts as an achievement. The statistics came Monday from Janina del Vecchio, the minister of security, who gave the annual summary in the presence of President Óscar Arias Sánchez. She has been criticized for being a political choice with little background in law enforcement. She said the numbers came from the Judicial Investigating Organization and were based on reports from January through November. Robberies in San José were down 4.9 percent and home invasions were down 8.8 percent, she said. Ms. del Vecchio credited among other factors the success of the Tribunales de Flagrancia that have been instituted by the Poder Judicial. Criminals caught in the acts or nearly so sometimes are tried and sentenced within hours. The Poder Judicial is trying to put the concept into effect nationwide. The Fuerza Pública and its dependency have confiscated 92,974 kilos of cocaine since the start of the Arias administration in May 2006, the agency said. The security ministry conducted three sweeps of Limón province in 2009 which resulted in arrests and confiscation of weapons and drugs. The ministry credits these sweeps for reducing the murders there by 23 percent. There are 40,000 more policemen on the force now. This was a campaign promise by Arias, and the budget of the ministry has gone from 62 billion colons to 124 billion proposed for 2010, about $219 million. In addition, the administration has raised police base wages some 25 percent. This is the last full year of the Arias administration. He leaves office in May. He is known to be troubled by the public perception of a rising crime rate. (emphasis mine) This is great news. I'm thinking of all the money I can save on taxis at night by walking through Barrio Cuba or Barrio Mexico. /sarcasm off There is a famous quote, often attributed (dubiously) to Mark Twain that goes: "Lies, damned lies, and statistics." We certainly have some statistics here, alrighty! I'm not going to do an in depth analysis of this article because it's not worth the effort. But it is worth a few observations. The Limon murder statistics... I guess I can believe that. It has a population of about 75,000. The murder rate in all of Costa Rica is around 10 per 100,000. Though Limon is likely higher, that would amount to about 8 murders per year following the national average. So if this year we had 6 murders, the rate would be down 25%. Obviously it doesn't take a major change to move the rate with such a small sample. So 2 less murders in Limon and we have a nice stat to throw at the clueless press. Robberies are down, in theory, around 5%. Naturally, these are reported robberies, assuming the statistics are accurate. I know several Chicas who had their phones and purses stolen who didn't even bother going to the police. Why bother, was their attitude. Home invasions? These probably do get reported. It is possible the number is down, though there certainly have been quite a few reported in the media in the past year. Maybe Ms. del Veccio deserves credit here, maybe it's a statistical blip, maybe the numbers were cooked, I can't say. The seemingly big cocaine confiscations are another bragging point, apparently. How much is 90 thousand kilos in terms of what passes through Costa Rica? Does anybody know? Does anybody even have a wild ass guess? I don't. If this is more than was confiscated in previous years, cool. Is it because more is being shipped through CR or is it because a higher pct. is being nabbed? Beats me. But it makes for positive PR. And that's basically my point. It's PR. We have an election coming up. The ruling party wants to put the best face possible on things so they can get their candidates elected. I don't feel any safer now than I did a year ago, but then, I don't have any statistics to back that up. http://www.usexpatcostarica.com/2009/12 ... -down.html |
Author: | Zebra [ Sat Dec 19, 2009 2:37 pm ] |
Post subject: | |
Thank you...I feel much better now. ![]() |
Author: | Gringotim [ Sun Dec 20, 2009 2:22 am ] |
Post subject: | |
That indeed is a relief...now I can walk safely from the DR to the Best Western after dark ![]() Bilko...you're absolutely right, it's only PR. Sort of like the US government/Nobama administration stating that the unemployment rate is only 10%, when actually it's about 18%, since the people who have given up looking for work or are 'underemployed' aren't even counted. |
Author: | Chi_trekker [ Mon Dec 21, 2009 10:44 am ] |
Post subject: | |
Well I have a few comments. I've lived in CR for over three years now. I, personally, have not seen crime take a huge swing in either direction. The state is always generally "not too secure" but I'm comforted by my signficant other when she says that CR is much more secure than Nicaragua, Honduras and El Salvador. ![]() What I have seen are this - more cops on the street. I have noticed that there are more. Are they making a difference? Well, if by shear appearances they scare away bad guys. Then, good. I also have seen new cop cars and better equipment and uniforms. When I first came down here, they were driving around in total shitboxs - 20 year old Hyndais and such. If a crook is on a dirt bike, then the cop has 0% chance of catching him. If the guys goes off road, well then more like a negative chance - if math permits. I also have seen some cars "Donado por China". So, at least there are more of them and their appear better equipped. On the justice side - i haven't seen any difference. On the drug trafficing front - la ministeria is doing a better job than I expected. I give her an A for effort - she seems like a perra brava. However, in reality, I doubt she is hardly putting a dent on true drug trafficing. Especially now that we have Mexico gangs, Colombian gangs and those dangerous bandits from Jamaica - who I don't think get nearly enough press. |
Author: | Californicationdude [ Mon Dec 21, 2009 11:12 am ] |
Post subject: | |
i will guess at the 90,000 kilo value. for the cartel, 100 million if the middleman has already paid and took possession, then 200 million and in beautiful downtown SoFla, if seized there, then over 2 billion. all of it, sadly, dirty. now, i learned an interesting thing the other day about CR from one of our more thrifty Brothers, it apparently it costs 90% less to run your washing machine at night instead of during daytime peak hour usage/charges. you would think it would be cheaper to was that money in CR at night, but i guess there are not enough 'washing machines' in CR. maybe the new chinatown development will help with that problem. |
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