Prolijo wrote:
... The way Berk has been covering this thing it seems like he sees it as the potential "end of civilization as we know it" or another pandemic like the Flu Pandemic of 1918-1919 which killed 50million people worldwide or the Bubonic Plague of the 1300's. I suppose he's still convinced that the world is heading towards global economic devastation and permanent depression too.....
I honestly believe you either can't read or can't comprehend. Here is
everything I have posted on the subject in this thread. I suggest you need to get your facts correct, before you feel the need to post 5,020 words on the subject compared to my 473 + or - a few.
POST 1 -Think again.... 3 flights arriving from Mexico City into SJO today.
http://www.alterra.co.cr/fiws/
POST 2 - I am going to disagree. "Swine" flu is NOT your common, run of the mill influenza and for good reason. It's generally much more virulent with a higher mortality rate taking young adults in their 20's and 30's.
POST 3 - As of today there is no pandemic. My disagreement is with WHY various countries have declared public health emergencies. It's because of the specific disease itself and the human to human transmission. That is almost impossible to contain and the WHO has now made a statement similar to that in that efforts should be to mitigate the disease because containment is impossible. My additional comments were FYI to all readers.
24 to 72 hours and I predict the WHO will raise the level to 5... pandemic stage.
(this happened 48 hours into my prediction)
POST 4 - What we have is a little more than a "health scare", but I do understand your point. I think I'll go to Delta and American's website and check to see how many open seats there are on flights to Mexico City today.
Berk...
P.S. I checked American...... today and tomorrow they are loaded with open seats at 90 bucks one way out of DFW.
POST 5 - You are 99.999% out of luck on the vaccine you received 30 years ago for swine flu. The longest lasting vaccines are 10 years in duration requiring either a booster or the the full vaccine for continued protection. The other issue is what you received 30 years ago, even if it was still effective for that particular strain, is that the current strain has probably mutated and the antibodies you would have floating around might be of little to no use.
POST 6 - H1N1 or swine flu isn't your everyday garden variety seasonal flu.
Seasonal being the key word.
Is there cause for panic? No. Will it get worse... I bet it will. 1918 all over again... very, very unlikely.
POST 7 - The alert has been raised to stage 5. Quote:
Phase 5 is characterized by human-to-human spread of the virus into at least two countries in one WHO region. While most countries will not be affected at this stage, the declaration of Phase 5 is a strong signal that a pandemic is imminent and that the time to finalize the organization, communication, and implementation of the planned mitigation measures is short. (WHO website)
POST 8 - While both SARS and Swine influenza are viruses and affect the respiratory tract that pretty much is where the comparison stops... in general. SARS came on the scene in 2003, infected a little over 8,000 people resulting in the death of 775 more or less. That's almost a 1% mortality rate. Swine flu is much more easily spread. Where it will lead and who it might take with it no one knows at this point.