Boynton wrote:
Purely speculation, but I expect a short total halt of international flights (30 to 60 days, creeping to 90 to 120 days) for a tracking system to be designed snd implemented based on cellphone GPS tracking and random check-in calls. Threats of stiff federal penalties will intimidate most into just staying put. I expect we will hear more around Feb 3rd, the deadline for the report on how to constitutionally implement Biden's executive order.
I could be right, I am probably wrong.
Bob Dole '96. A better man for a better America.
Bans for non US Citizens are going into effect for flights from Brazil, South Africa, the UK, and most EU countries.
However, beyond that, I don't expect the CDC to implement anything other than recommendations for the states to follow. The document I posted a bit earlier goes into reasons why.
Some random thoughts on the current state of things:
Good News:- Infection rates and hospitalizations have been going down
- California is about to loosen up restrictions
- The US has managed to vaccinate 22 million people and is vaccinating at a rate of just over 1 million per day. IF we can keep that rate up, we can be at close to 40% vaccinated by the start of May.
- Vaccines are expected to be effective on the new variants.
- FEMA has been enlisted to get the vaccine out.
- Johnson & Johnson should be getting their vaccine into the mix by mid February. It's a single shot and doesn't require super low temps for storage. THIS is the Obi Wan Kenobi of vaccines if we're able to get it out there. This will help with the one piece of bad news I can think of....
Bad news:- There may be vaccine shortages due to some poor purchasing decisions made by the former CDC Head.
I actually think we're in a pretty good spot TBH. By very late spring, early summer we'll be at a point where we'll still be wearing masks, and there will be some lighter restrictions in place, but we'll have turned a corner on this thing so we can all move on with our lives.